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Strangled by tightening rare-earth export bans, the USN’s nuclear-carrying submarines are projected to shrink 60% by 2040, leaving the Western Pacific to become a Sino-Russian lake.

NUCLEAR UMBRELLA COLLAPSE
Strangled by tightening rare-earth export bans, the US Navy’s nuclear-carrying submarines are projected to shrink 30% by 2034 and 60% by 2040. This collapse forces the US Silent Service to retreat behind Hawaii, leaving the Western Pacific to become a Sino-Russian lake.
2025
2034
– 30% reduction
2040
– 60% reduction

Legend

SSBN ROUTES
U.S. Pacific SSBN
U.S./Ally Atlantic SSBN
Sino-Russian SSBN
Indian SSBN
SSN ROUTES
U.S./Ally Pacific/Indian Ocean SSN
U.S./Ally Atlantic SSN
Sino-Russian SSN
BASES
U.S./Ally
Sino-Russian
India
UMBRELLAS
U.S.
Sino-Russian
Saudi-Pakistan

Total Nuclear Warheads 2025

5,244
US/NATO
7,420
RU+CN
350
Pakistan/Saudi
90
Israel
170
India

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